27 May 2020
27 May 2020
On 27 May 2020 DELVE published Test, Trace, Isolate. The Royal Society’s overview stresses that success depends on speed, compliance and monitoring.
The report argues that TTI can contribute to controlling the epidemic only as part of a wider package of public-health measures. Modelling in the supporting addendum — co-authored by Andrei Paleyes with Bobby He, Bryn Elesedy, Michael Hutchinson, Sheheryar Zaidi, Guy Harling, Anne Johnson and Yee Whye Teh — finds that adding extra-household contact tracing to distancing and household isolation reduces new infections by roughly 5–15%, with the upper end when the test-and-trace cycle is shortened from five days to three.
Alongside the report, the team released TTI-Explorer, open simulation software (Andrei first author) for exploring TTI strategies and distancing measures. Code is on GitHub. Background is on the DELVE project page.
17 April 2020
The Royal Society launches DELVE — Data Evaluation and Learning for Viral Epidemics — to feed data-driven analysis into SAGE. Neil Lawrence helps lead the group; Jessica Montgomery provides secretariat.
4 May 2020
The first DELVE report argues that face coverings, including homemade cloth masks, could reduce community transmission when physical distancing is hard to maintain.
2 June 2020
Andrei Paleyes and collaborators publish an openly licensed country-level join of cases, deaths, tests, NPIs, mobility and related metadata for up to 170 countries.
